China’s fertility rate will drop again – Sohu review ghost observer

Chinese or fertility rate will drop again – Sohu recently published "Chinese review October statistical yearbook 2016" show: in 2015, women of childbearing age Chinese "total fertility rate" (refers to the countries or regions of the women in the childbearing period, the average number of children per woman) is only 1.047. There are two methods to calculate the total fertility rate: the first kind is a group of women of childbearing age as one year of age (divided into different age stages) fertility rate is calculated; the second is a group of women of childbearing age by five years the age-specific fertility rate was calculated. According to the first method, the total fertility rate in 2015 was 1.047, and the total fertility rate in 2015 was calculated by the second methods, which was 1.054. Although the results obtained by the two methods are different, the total fertility rate in 2015 is only about 1.05. Even assuming that the omission rate reached 10%, then in 2015 the total fertility rate of less than 1.2. Some people do not believe that China’s fertility rate is so low, they think that now more and more families have two children, fertility rate may be so low? It is obvious that they have overlooked the common phenomenon that many women do not have a child. If an adult female is not married or not married children, then pulled down the overall fertility rate data, even if another adult women gave birth to two children, the two women on average only gave birth to a child, the average growth rate of only 1. A country born every year, some children, one child, some two children, some are more than three children or more than three children. According to the China Statistical Yearbook 2016, calculated in 2015, a child fertility rate of 0.56, the fertility rate of two children was 0.42, the fertility rate of more than three children and above. In contrast, in 2014 a child fertility rate of 0.73, the fertility rate of two children was 0.46, more than three children and fertility rate of 0.084. As can be seen, in 2015 the child birth rate has declined over the previous year. From 2010 to 2015, the highest birth rate in China was in 2014, reaching 1.28. This is because 2014 is the first year of the two separate child policy has been implemented in various provinces in the country, many couples alone are concentrated in the annual two children, so in 2014 two child birth rate was significantly increased than in 2013 (two 2013 birth rate of only 0.39). 2015 is the two separate child policy for second years, the fertility rate but lower than in 2014, which seems to be quite in line with "the caogui controversy" the truth "and then decline, done in one vigorous effort, three and exhaust". October 29th this year, is the first anniversary of the implementation of a comprehensive two child policy. This year two child birth rate will be significantly higher than last year, not only because many couples past although want to have two children, but the policy is not allowed, so these couples previously repressed two child will have concentrated release in the first year of release policy. Moreover, with the number of couples all the two child policy, a couple of two child policy alone than with the number several times (according to the National Guard)相关的主题文章:

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